Seas then build again on Thu ahead of a strong frontal sys. Seas on the ocean are forecast to be in the 3-5 ft range Mon- Tue, then less on Wed. Winds will decrease Sunday night, but seas on the ocean will remain at or above 5 ft. West winds will produce Small Craft Advisory conditions on all waters Sun. Behind a cold front Saturday night northwest winds and gusts will be increasing, with gusts reaching SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels across all the forecast waters Saturday evening, and a SCA (Small Craft Advisory) has been issued. Temps warming back to around normal with smaller diurnal swings.Ī SCA (Small Craft Advisory) remains on the ocean waters tonight through at least Saturday night as increasing swell from the remnant low of Philippe move into the ocean waters. Chances for rainfall increase thru the period, although the heaviest precipitation may hold off until Fri night or later. Humidity increases Thu and Fri ahead of a strong cold front. Not much moisture to work with so any precipitation should be mainly light. Little change in airmass expected with temps remaining a little below normal. Dry weather expected with lapse rates not as steep.Ī weak front comes thru late Tuesday into Wednesday with a few showers possible. Flow aloft backs to the sw, but surface temps remain below normal with less mixing across the interior. Less wind on Monday as the low over Canada weakens and another sys approaches from the west. Bkn flat cu around 3000 ft possible as well. Steep lapse rates during the day, so have added isolated sprinkles to the forecast. Deep mixing will allow for temps to reach around 60, despite h85 temps falling to around 1C. Despite the distance from the center of the sys, it will be breezy across the area due to the depth the low. Low pressure will retrograde into warning Quebec on Sun, dropping into the 970s by 00Z Mon. Colder air moves in with temperatures returning to seasonal to slightly below for Saturday night. Precipitation will end Saturday night as the cold front tracks east and north of the area. The upper trough closes off and becomes negative Saturday evening as the remnant low merges with the frontal system. Also small and fast responding streams across northeastern New Jersey could flood as antecedent conditions remain wet from recent rainfall. With higher confidence of this occurring has issued a Flood Watch as urban and poor drainage areas could see flash flooding. Hi res models have come into better agreement with the potential of a narrow band of heavy rainfall, and increased rainfall amounts. The frontal system will interact with tropical moisture from the remnant low late tonight into Saturday, and with increased lift, a weak low level jet, and precipitable water values around 1.5 inches, and warm cloud processes, periods of moderate to heavy rainfall will be possible. At the surface a cold front approaches tonight and moves through Saturday into Saturday evening, as the remnant low tracks well to the east. Low pressure remains north of the area into the beginning of next week, with frontal systems impacting the area around the middle and end of the week.įlood Watch in effect from late tonight through Saturday evening for northeastern New Jersey, the lower Hudson Valley, New York City, and Fairfield and Nassau counties.Ī longwave upper trough will be approaching tonight, and then moves into the northeast and mid Atlantic Saturday as the trough begins to interact with the remnant of Philippe. The cold front will move across the area Saturday into Saturday evening as the remnant low of Philippe reaches to off the New England coast and then near the Maine coast by Sunday morning.

Winds And Seas May Be Higher In And Near Tstms.Ī cold front approaches tonight as the remnant low of Philippe moves north, well east of the Delmarva coast. Mon.Sw Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Sun Night.W Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt. Sun.W Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Showers With Isolated Tstms In The Evening, Then Chance Of Showers After Midnight. Sat Night.Nw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Vsby Less Than 1 Nm, Increasing To 1 To 3 Nm In The Afternoon. Vsby 1 To 3 Nm, Decreasing To Less Than 1 Nm After Midnight. Isolated Showers This Evening, Then Showers Likely With Isolated Tstms After Midnight. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING Tonight.E Winds 5 To 10 Kt.

Ct sounds 8